Fourteen months is abstract. A date is a deadline — and a growing business often reaches break-even before it reaches zero, which flat-burn arithmetic never shows.
The customers you lose without anyone deciding to leave.

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How many months of cash you have — and the month you run out.
Fourteen months is abstract. A date is a deadline — and a growing business often reaches break-even before it reaches zero, which flat-burn arithmetic never shows.
Everything: salaries, tools, hosting, rent
Set to 0 for the flat-burn worst case
Assumes expenses stay flat while revenue grows, which is optimistic — most costs rise with revenue. Treat the growth-adjusted figure as the ceiling and the flat figure as the floor.
Revenue overtakes expenses in month 9, before the cash runs out. The plan works — provided expenses really do stay flat while revenue grows.
Runway if you cut monthly expenses
| Formula | At $75k expenses, $40k revenue | |
|---|---|---|
| Gross burn | Total expenses | $75,000/mo |
| Net burn | Expenses − revenue | $35,000/mo |
| Runway on $500k | Cash ÷ net burn | 14.3 months |
Runway is always calculated on net burn. Using gross burn understates it dramatically for any company with meaningful revenue — and overstates the panic accordingly.
Flat-burn arithmetic assumes revenue never moves. If revenue grows even modestly, the burn shrinks every month and the runway extends — sometimes past the point where revenue overtakes expenses entirely.
A raise takes three to six months from first conversation to money in the bank, and it takes longer when you are visibly desperate. The conventional advice is to start at nine to twelve months of runway.
Below six months, terms deteriorate sharply because investors can see the deadline as clearly as you can.
GOOD QUESTIONS
Gross burn is total monthly expenses. Net burn subtracts revenue. Runway is always calculated on net burn — using gross burn understates runway badly for any company with meaningful revenue.
Start the process at nine to twelve months. Raising takes three to six months, and it takes longer when investors can see you are running out. Below six months your negotiating position deteriorates quickly.
Yes, and often substantially. If revenue grows while expenses stay flat, net burn shrinks every month. A business growing 8% monthly can reach break-even before the cash runs out — which flat-burn arithmetic never reveals.
Moving customers to annual billing, since it pulls twelve months of cash forward without changing anything about the business. After that, cutting fixed costs — every dollar removed extends runway permanently rather than once.